Interactive Sandbox
Pricing Playground
Combine multiple models in a live sandbox environment
Player Selection
Season Avg
26.5
Std Dev
6.2
Line & Pricing
15 pts 35 pts
1.5x 2.5x
Simulation
1000 50000
Projected Points Distribution
Over 25.5 (56.1%)
Under 25.5 (43.9%)
Recent Game Log
Hit rate vs line: 45%
📊 Pricing Analysis
True Over Prob 56.1%
Implied Prob 52.4%
User Edge 3.71%
House Edge -3.71%
💰 Bet Analysis
Expected Value +63.16%
Kelly Fraction 7.8%
✅ +EV Opportunity
The true probability (56.1%) exceeds implied probability (52.4%). Kelly suggests betting 7.8% of bankroll.
📈 Simulation Stats
Mean
26.5
Median
26.5
5th %ile
16.5
95th %ile
36.7